Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.116675 0.129777 0.144217 0.161396 0.181386 0.204048 0.231871
2024-10-13 0.094568 0.111328 0.131269 0.157058 0.189990 0.231284 0.288049
2024-10-20 0.081656 0.100466 0.124251 0.157193 0.202735 0.265228 0.360774
2024-10-27 0.070645 0.089865 0.115324 0.152546 0.207445 0.288745 0.425333
2024-11-03 0.065243 0.085603 0.113779 0.157179 0.225433 0.334749 0.538001
2024-11-10 0.060649 0.081696 0.111939 0.160708 0.241987 0.382054 0.669644
2024-11-17 0.055362 0.076092 0.106759 0.158030 0.247574 0.411566 0.778521
2024-11-24 0.050649 0.070797 0.101344 0.154018 0.249850 0.435190 0.884451
2024-12-01 0.045665 0.064617 0.093866 0.145472 0.242284 0.437512 0.941693
2024-12-08 0.043004 0.061772 0.091386 0.145149 0.250014 0.473258 1.100900
2024-12-15 0.041422 0.060466 0.091239 0.148883 0.266302 0.532248 1.359592
2024-12-22 0.038607 0.056940 0.087026 0.144542 0.265122 0.549943 1.501543
2024-12-29 0.037483 0.056170 0.087575 0.149568 0.285634 0.629872 1.928870
2025-01-05 0.035296 0.053465 0.084501 0.147134 0.289105 0.666493 2.227785
2025-01-12 0.033780 0.051787 0.083113 0.147932 0.300402 0.730005 2.720653
2025-01-19 0.031755 0.049089 0.079626 0.143933 0.299237 0.755736 3.061235
2025-01-26 0.030993 0.048539 0.080072 0.148358 0.320437 0.862961 4.047039
2025-02-02 0.030149 0.047774 0.080028 0.151689 0.339603 0.973424 5.316054
2025-02-09 0.028719 0.045853 0.077573 0.149235 0.342146 1.023202 6.236931
2025-02-16 0.027266 0.043803 0.074715 0.145526 0.340401 1.055812 7.105531
2025-02-23 0.025471 0.041033 0.070250 0.137597 0.324808 1.024574 7.228782
2025-03-02 0.024589 0.039915 0.069027 0.137299 0.332428 1.099627 8.911416
2025-03-09 0.024136 0.039569 0.069341 0.140768 0.352661 1.245836 12.411460